EBRD lowers Poland's GDP growth forecasts for 2025 by 0.4 pct to 3.4 pct
The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development has lowered its 2025 Poland GDP growth forecast by 0.4 percent to 3.4 percent, the bank's newest report said. In 2026, EBRD forecasts growth at 3.2 percent.
"Public sector investments co-financed by the RRF are expected to accelerate further in the second half of 2025 as transfers increase," the bank's report wrote.
"By the end of last year, Poland had received approximately 35 percent of its total RRF allocation (EUR 59.8bn), with additional two tranches to come in April 2025 and the last four by end-2026," it added.
The bank stated that as export market conditions improve, private sector investments by large manufacturers are poised to rebound.
"Potential increases in US import tariffs on goods from the EU are a source of risk, primarily through negative spillovers from weaker economic activity in Germany," the bank wrote.
"Real GDP growth is expected to reach 3.4 percent in 2025 and 3.2 percent in 2026," it added.
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